Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.461452 0.540870 0.627783 0.729684 0.845592 0.973034 1.123459
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.336639 0.441771 0.568017 0.729556 0.929409 1.167108 1.469618
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.246684 0.358043 0.503121 0.703186 0.968694 1.305376 1.760428
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.202717 0.320733 0.485435 0.727048 1.066426 1.519242 2.160691
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.169049 0.289296 0.467806 0.744353 1.152389 1.720961 2.558868
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.150140 0.275244 0.471191 0.789212 1.278257 1.984693 3.060090
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.125073 0.245978 0.445878 0.785684 1.329876 2.143900 3.422257
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.103798 0.218639 0.418701 0.774106 1.365405 2.279053 3.755561
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.087324 0.196481 0.396329 0.766337 1.404062 2.419178 4.102926
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.077035 0.184011 0.388798 0.782093 1.481262 2.623271 4.560440
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.067628 0.171387 0.378888 0.791779 1.547885 2.813551 5.006384
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058889 0.158368 0.366131 0.794197 1.601029 2.983922 5.428910
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.052028 0.148417 0.358514 0.806304 1.674103 3.195499 5.937658
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045160 0.136992 0.346167 0.807670 1.727510 3.377101 6.407896
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037145 0.120768 0.320842 0.779409 1.721844 3.453934 6.702658
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.033963 0.116531 0.321681 0.805694 1.823641 3.729134 7.358305
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030701 0.111297 0.319351 0.824682 1.912146 3.985010 7.992965
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029400 0.111502 0.330130 0.873713 2.065176 4.369267 8.877856
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.025599 0.103128 0.318265 0.869872 2.108246 4.548285 9.397144
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021947 0.094201 0.303464 0.857232 2.131185 4.689326 9.852511
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.018979 0.086691 0.291112 0.848746 2.161796 4.846159 10.344046
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017279 0.083209 0.289319 0.865956 2.250126 5.121913 11.074596
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.015550 0.079115 0.285115 0.876534 2.324186 5.372744 11.768524